domingo, 5 de julho de 2020

Covid, plane and human irrationality

They say that traveling by plane or helicopter is much safer than by car (bus, motorcycle). Okay. The problem is that this comparison is not complete, because post-accident survival statistics are missing, not to mention differences in use, since we travel a lot more in land vehicles. Another difference is the level of human factor involved since many land vehicle accidents happen due to sheer negligence or lack of attention from the driver. Well, the numbers show us that the survival rates are logically higher, even in the case of serious car, motorcycle, etc. accidents, and the opposite for those of airplane, helicopter .. But, the majority, many times for necessity or convenience , conforms to half of this risk history and security level. And that is irrational, of course.

Many people have also treated covid-19, a disease caused by the new coronavirus, in a pandemic course in this year 2020 "dc", as less dangerous than it can be, based on ignorance or misrepresentation of facts.

Like: if the majority who get it present asymptomatic or mild symptoms, being potentially more severe in the case of people with comorbidities and old age, I'm sure I won't have complications ...

But, as long as there are no tests that detect, with any precision, the risk of your immune system showing an exaggerated response, the main death factor of the covid, then there is no way to say that if you take it, you will not end up in a hospital bed or even die. I don't have a crystal ball and if I want to preserve my life, I need to follow reason and not the intuition to find myself invincible without having any concrete proof of it. In most cases there are no complications, but you will only be sure of what can happen to you if you get the disease. Not to mention people, spouse, friends, relatives, strangers who could become contaminated because of you and become in a serious condition or even fail to resist the infection.

The illusion or intellectual hallucination that makes people exaggerate about the safety of traveling by plane is the same that makes them underestimate the dangerousness of the covid-19.

Most of the time when we fly, it is safe. But in the bad luck of having an accident, the chances of dying are very high.

Most of the time, covid-19 is not lethal. But, this does not mean that there is 100% certainty that, if you take it, you will follow the trend of this majority. Nor that the same will happen to the people around you, if you become contaminated and a vector.

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